What is Technical Analysis?
Technical analysis constitutes an attempt to correctly anticipate price fluctuations in a financial market. In terms of forex, this means speculation about currency price movements in the short, middle or long-term future. Forecasting is achieved by the careful analysis of past market data. Technical analysis is based on the reliability of an historical price trend to indicate future movements and is enabled by the use of forex charts, which graphically illustrate numerical data over a given time period.
Underlying Assumptions
Technical analysis, in its purest form, relies on the supposition that the future is essentially knowable. Another key supposition is that market psychology, external events and news announcements do not need to be followed in order to understand trends. The historical trends, as expressed in raw figures, constitute an adequate analytical resource for the purpose of finding technical indicators. Understanding the technical indicators operating in a particular part of the market enables the trader to make informed forecasting.
Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies
Technical analysis can inform individual trading strategies. For example, if a trader believes a currency price is set to rise over a number of days, he or she may maintain a trading position despite temporary falls in the price during this period. Another strategy could be to close a trading position as soon as a currency price falls outside a predefined range. Generally speaking, relying on technical analysis helps traders minimise the risk of emotional trading.